Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 12.944357 14.831951 16.914683 19.385831 22.241405 25.441740 29.306330
2025-10-12 10.581236 13.073664 16.048758 19.871964 24.669927 30.511646 38.193919
2025-10-19 9.300875 12.127735 15.697746 20.557910 27.034809 35.414645 47.152359
2025-10-26 7.949879 10.822798 14.618910 20.033297 27.609345 37.909628 53.105090
2025-11-02 6.999723 9.890437 13.862488 19.761911 28.375725 40.607730 59.497626
2025-11-09 6.253899 9.133410 13.230276 19.539345 29.110146 43.244631 65.996018
2025-11-16 5.626542 8.466211 12.635796 19.271620 29.695273 45.652103 72.334877
2025-11-23 5.068684 7.837507 12.021974 18.885638 30.018950 47.637131 78.158867
2025-11-30 4.866697 7.729217 12.179673 19.700412 32.293468 52.889303 89.850746
2025-12-07 4.577617 7.450729 12.035524 19.999041 33.731175 56.887084 99.830799
2025-12-14 4.255712 7.086139 11.713342 19.958710 34.572382 59.930383 108.432819
2025-12-21 3.940531 6.702767 11.322167 19.754267 35.091102 62.435076 116.293213
2025-12-28 3.800689 6.610955 11.423931 20.434800 37.278365 68.182023 130.976811
2026-01-04 3.644131 6.475230 11.435490 20.950360 39.209261 73.648084 145.765616
2026-01-11 3.531663 6.407023 11.557869 21.675711 41.598007 80.208613 163.499901
2026-01-18 3.249828 6.003597 11.033285 21.120948 41.438306 81.768062 171.082457
2026-01-25 3.030442 5.698667 10.665781 20.833983 41.775355 84.338118 181.082425
2026-02-01 2.837439 5.428145 10.340624 20.598649 42.187922 87.089847 191.779112
2026-02-08 2.655710 5.164898 10.007754 20.315577 42.468123 89.579203 202.161053
2026-02-15 2.475602 4.890738 9.631356 19.907492 42.438400 91.388666 211.172742
2026-02-22 2.443635 4.912097 9.848756 20.768955 45.251062 99.722425 236.598488
2026-03-01 2.357343 4.814910 9.815092 21.084725 46.876066 105.541797 256.637800
2026-03-08 2.242749 4.649746 9.626550 21.042078 47.677934 109.537843 272.613951